Execution Blueprint

Position sizing, platform comparison, impact simulation
Sizing Method
Conservative
Third-Kelly default
Platforms
2
Polymarket + Kalshi
Fee Models
Per-venue
Maker / taker schedules
Slippage
Modeled
Book-impact estimate
Position Calculator
Enter market details to compute position size
Search by name, or paste a full market ID
Your probability of YES — drives the edge vs market
MARKET
DIRECTION
CURRENT PRICE
YOUR ESTIMATE
EDGE
POSITION SIZE
Calculator output only. Not personalized advice. You supply the probability estimate.
Platform Comparison
MetricPolymarketKalshi
Fee ModelTaker/MakerFixed per contract
SettlementUSDC on-chainUSD custodial
DepthVaries by marketVaries by market
RegulationOffshoreCFTC DCM
Slippage Curve (Market Impact)
Enter a market ID above to load the depth-walked impact curve.