Edge Discovery

Cross-market pricing inconsistencies, illiquid markets, and resolution-ambiguity risk

Mispricings✦

Pricing inconsistencies

Cross-Venue⇄

PM↔Kalshi divergences

Dead Markets◆

High OI + wide spread

Resolution Risk⚖

Elevated+ risk markets

Overlooked◎

Low attention, high edge

Mispricing Scanner

Monitoring

No combinatorial pricing violations currently exceed the edge threshold. Mispricings appear when complement, neg-risk sum-to-one, or cross-platform price gaps open up.

Detection Methods

AI vs Market Divergence

AI model disagreement vs market price

Cross-Platform Spread

Price differences net of fees

Domain Bias Correction

Category-specific bias correction

Whale Consensus Divergence

Large-wallet positioning vs market price

Edge Decay Analysis

How long a detected edge persists before the market corrects. Edge half-life varies by category — faster in liquid markets, slower where information diffuses gradually.